The New World Order is Uploading

The New World Order is in Construction Phase.

The American president's lunch with Pakistan's army chief is a surprise for many countries but it is just a indication of resetting of new world orders. It started from Russia Ukraine war. India Russia Ukraine war we see two important things: One was India's neutral stand between Westerns and Russia. The another is the Russia' closeness with China. India had taken a neutral stand because India has strategic relationships with USA. Russia was fighting alone to the whole NATO. China has strain relations with USA, so the circumstances pave the way for Russia-China friendship. This friendship was a cost for India's neutral stance in the war. That time Quad was getting importance and USA's focus was Indo-pacific. India also have to counter China specially after Galvan incident. This indo-US strategic partnerships was also the main reason for India's neutral stance in the Russia Ukraine war. That's time USA wanted to take QUAD at next level where the members countries can share land of each other while fighting with the enemy. Basically USA wanted a military base in India to counter China. But India never allowed anyone to use its land to attack another country. So QUAD couldn't take pace. India was right here as China is a neighbour and India believes in peacefull coexistence and resolving issues through dialogue and diplomacy. Another reason was that India don't want to be a member of any military alliance. India wants QUAD only to a strategic level. 

Due to India's neutral stance and prevailing circumstances, Russia shifted closer to China. Another significant reason of this friendship was the common enemy USA. USA had left Afganistan, but it needs land bases near to China. Another option was Pakistan. But Pakistan was a China' friend and debt trapped country. But it is not an easy task for both USA as well as Pakistan. USA knows the importance of Pakistan's geographic location but going closer to Pakistan means going away from India. India is a huge market and the strategic partner. It is also not easy for Pakistan as it has trapped in china debt. China also building huge infrastructure project like CPEC (China Pakistan Economic Corridor). Pakistan also gets advance military weapons at discounted price from china to counter India. Pakistan's closeness with USA means making distance from China. USA president Donald Trump trying hard to pulling Pakistan towards USA and same time pushing India towards China. But, India have consciousness, it doesn't join a group just because pakistan has joined another group. India and China friendship is also very hard. Russia already trying hard for RIC(Russia, India and China)block. The problem in this block is Indo-China relations. That's way RIC is approximately impossible. But impossible become possible in geopolitics. If US-Pakistan axis revived, then India may consider RIC a good option. So far India was hesitating to give a strength to the RIC. The reason is simple that US is our strategic partner and China is not a friendly country. USA engagement with Pakistan is situational and opportunistic.

 But, geopolitically it is against India. Pakistan so far trying to play smartly and getting benefits from both US as well as China. It allowed US bases on its own soil and same time CPEC like big projects and military deals with China to counter India. It is tilted towards China without going against USA. It is making military deals with USA as well. India have to take the scenario seriously. India maximum times doesn't take side in conflicts, for examples Russia Ukraine war and now Israel Iran war. It seems India still on NAM(Non Alliance Movement) policy. But change is the law of nature and geopolitics changes very fastly. Initially, in 1960s the geopolitics situations are differents in bipolar world and now are differents. This NAM policy not so effective in today's geopolitics. A friend of all is a friend of none. Now, India also started getting neutral responses from the friendly countries. When there was voting in UNSC on making Pakistan the head of anti-terror committee, neither Russia nor USA used veto against it and it was during India's MPs delegation around the world for exposing Pakistan on Pahalgam terror attack. It was a diplomatic failure for India. NAM was initially for not taking sides and making the world a multipolar world. That time India was not a strong country and we avoided taking sides but now we are a powerful country. So just being neutral is not enough. We have to move a step forward from NAM and that step is that we have to express what our views are on important world affairs. Being neutral means India wants to keep all doors open but finally not taking entry to any of them is making this policy outdated. 

The present world orders are under construction. USA helped Israel as usual. Israel is a satellite state of USA. USA control whole middle east through Israel and it's military bases in the region. 

Donald Trump seems a aggressive peacekeeper. He had announced ceasefire between Israel and Iran but both were firing missiles at each other after the announcement. But, next day the ceasefire happened. India was neutral in this war also and suggested dialogue and diplomacy way. Israel is important for military and intelligence point of view whereas Iran is important due to its strategic location for India. India heavily invested in Chhabar port. It is a way to central Asia by bypassing Pakistan and to counter the Gawadar port developed by China. 

Now, presently the situation is that, the Israel and Iran ceasefire has happened. Iran took a strong stand against Israel and USA. India can go ahead with both the countries. But Iran is pro China if we see with respect to India. And why it turned towards China because India stopped purchasing crude oil to avoid US sanction. Iran accepted the payment in Indian rupees for this cheaper crude oil. This was a totally undiplomatic step by India inspite of knowing the importance of Iran's strategic location for India. China don't fear sanctions and act reciprocally. So, India have to be very clear foreign policy. Ambiguity is no longer a beneficial deal. China grabbed this opportunity and invested heavily in Iran. That's why China criticised Israel for the attack on Iran . Bangladesh is also turning towards China and Pakistan. The regime change in Bangladesh was a part of the plan against India. One side China is working alongwith India's neighbours to isolate India and another side India neutral and soft foreign approach turning against itself. India stands completely isolated at the global stage. Bangladesh dared to speak against India regarding chicken neck. Bangladesh interim government’s chief advisor Professor Muhammad Yunus has said (during his visit to China) that with Northeast India “landlocked”, Dhaka is the “only guardian of the ocean for all this region”. Bangladesh was planning to revive an old World War II airbase at Lalmonirhat, just 12-15 kilometres from the Indian border with the help of China. The airfield is inactive for decades, lies only 135 kilometres from the Siliguri Corridor—India’s crucial ‘Chicken’s Neck’ connecting the northeast to the rest of the country. India need to take it seriously and should widen the chicken neck and close this security loop hole forever. USA planned regime change in Bangladesh to get military base there. China and Pakistan tried to grab this opportunity to open the 3rd front for India. The Pahalgam terror attack was a plan of it. But, India's response to the terror attack created fear in Bangladesh. India need to understand this whole geopolitical game plan to isolate India. The latest examples of India's isolation are that the world largest democratic body UN made Pakistan the head of anti-terror committee. Neither USA nor Russia used veto against it. Even during the recent Indo-Pak conflict IMF had approved the

$1bn loan to Pakistan and the recent SCO communique where the terror attack at Pahalgam has been ignored and Baluchistan has been mentioned. 

Nepal is also going away from India and becoming pro China. After Corona, China openly challenged the USA and now seems ready to replace it as the world new leader.

Thus, India have to be very clear in its foreign approach. India need to be more strategic and visionary approach rather than soft and situational approach. India believe in people to people contact, cultural ties etc. But hard reality is that there is hardly any place for these things in today's geopolitics. These are outdated instruments in today's geopolitics. India need to change its foreign approach drastically. India should have dominance over neighbours because these are security breach areas. ISI operating through Nepal and Bangladesh. Visa free access to Nepalese is being very well utilised by Pakistan's ISI. In its neighbours first approach, India should not close its eyes. Neighbours should be first not only in trade, transportation, cooperation etc. but also in ensuring security. India should keep a vigil on its neighbours. If it requires hegemony in the region to ensure safety then it's ok, no harm to be a hegemony power to ensure safety and security of the state. See China, a hegemony power in the south China sea. India should express its view clearly on international matters rather than to be neutral. Taking a stand in UN voting and conflicts doesn't mean that you have taken a side permanently. India should take a strategic side in national intrest. India's remaining neutral in Russia Ukraine war was a diplomatic blunder. India did so to go closer to USA and EU. But now USA going closer to Pakistan again like 1970s. But India has lost that 1970s Russia. India also again need to reboot it's ties with the all weather friend Russia.  India also trying hard to amend ties with China. If it happens then, RIC (Russia, India, China) can be a possibility. Asim Munir lunch with Donald Trump was very beneficial for pakistan. BLA( Balochistan Liberation Army) plan derailed and USA will sign critical minerals deal with Pakistan. Balochistan area is very rich in minerals but underdeveloped. USA may also sign a deal to develop it. It will permanently kill the BLA issues. During operation Sindoor, BLA was fighting with Pak army. Here also, India failed to act strategically. India would have countinue operation Sindoor for 4-5 days more. The timing of ceasefire was very unstrategic and setback giving. India immediately stop the operation Sindoor when BLA activated.  It would have very difficult for Pakistan fight on two fronts : India and BLA. But, unfortunately India agreed on ceasefire immediately. BLA was trying to utilise the operation Sindoor opportunity. India just missed the big opportunity here. It is said that Brahmos hitted USA base ( Nur Khan )in Pakistan and after that USA intervened for ceasefire. If it was true, then India did a mistake in accepting ceasefire. India only have to see its own national intrest first and not of friendly countries. It was also a strategic blunder. Now, Pakistan is in a good situation as it has managed the Indian response and BLA attacks. China is a friend and USA also increasing closeness with Pakistan. Pakistan make all its foreign policies keeping in view enmity with India. Now, Pakistan will enhance its military capabilities from both sides China and USA. Though China and Pakistan both are rivals but both wants Pakistan strategic location. Now, Pakistan will trying to make the balance between both the powers to get maximum benefits as it can get against India. 

So, India have to talk to USA and Russia both but not in a neutral way or balancing way. India can talk to USA to revive QUAD to counter China in Indo-pacific. But USA is not so reliable friend. 

So, India need to reboost it's ties with Russia. It will be good if old friendship treaty is revived. Accordingly, India will also have to support Russia in difficulties if India want support from Russia as nothing comes free in geopolitics.  India can't take Russia for granted, so India need to invest in forging old strategic relationship with Russia. Russia was pro India before Russia Ukraine war but now Russia is neutral with respect to India and China. Russia shifted towards China because India shifted from pro Russia to neutral and China shifted neutral to pro Russia. USA is the binding factor between Russia and China. Thus, India need to be tilted towards Russia so that Russia also can turn pro India and neutral for China. 

The conclusion is that India need to be very clear and decesive in its foreign approach. India's neighbours are carrying security threat for India. In neighbours first policy, the neighbours also should be checked from security point of view. India need to move from non alliance to the strategic alliance. India have to develop indigenous technology and must be self reliant militarily.